A note to John Gowings · Gowings Bros · The pack, with the synthesis at its centre

AI Datacentres

A working investor pack on AI data centres in Australia, organised around a single recommended position. The synthesis names the build. Six further pages size it, cost it, test it, and place it inside the global picture.

·The recommendation, sized and tested
I · The recommendation

Synthesis

Build a Sydney-metro boutique standalone at twenty-two to twenty-eight megawatts. The frontier refusal stands; this recommendation is what was inside it.

The reframe The economics Cost stack, live
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II · The boutique, sized

Footprint

Seven premium-local segments populate the boutique tier. A demand stack across five years against a capacity line that steps once. The shape supports the build.

Seven segments Demand stack 22 → 28 MW
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III · Where the money goes

Cost stack

The line-by-line accounting beneath the underwriting. AUD 1.26B of one-time capex, AUD 33M of annual opex, AUD 180M of thirty-year refresh, with the Australian premia surfaced at the lines they bite.

Capex Opex 30-year refresh
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IV · Test it

Underwriting calculator

Sydney boutique against hyperscaler-Sydney: flex four numbers and pick a customer mix. The deployed capital, year-three NOI, unlevered yield, and levered IRR update on the right with a position read.

Four sliders Seven segments Position read
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·Place the capital, orient the asset
V · Screen capital

Thesis

A demand cascade and a four-thesis scorecard, responsive to three diagnostic inputs. Locates where money originates and which thesis the boutique sits inside.

Four theses Three sliders
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VI · Supply side

Compute

An AI data centre, from chip to hall, at four scales of magnification. The chip does the work; everything else exists to keep it cool, fed, and connected.

The stack Investor read
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VII · Demand side

Demand

What the customer is actually buying when they buy compute. The middle of the data flow is the only thing billed; what goes in and what comes back is the customer's own.

What is billed Crossover
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How to read

Start with the synthesis. It names the recommended position — a Sydney-metro boutique standalone at twenty-two to twenty-eight megawatts — and shows live what the build pays at conservative inputs. From there, the footprint sizes the seven premium-local segments and the five-year demand trajectory; the cost stack decomposes every line on which the underwriting rests; the underwriting calculator stress-tests the position at the corner cases.

The thesis dashboard places the capital inside the global four-thesis frame. The two visual notes — Compute and Demand — are scale-agnostic and orient the reader to the asset itself. They are best read after the synthesis if the supply-side or demand-side mechanics need grounding, or first if the asset itself is unfamiliar.